A look at the day ahead in European and global markets |
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By Gregor Stuart Hunter, Markets Correspondent |
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It's Jobs Friday and there is no jobs report. With non-farm payrolls delayed by a U.S. government shutdown - again - and a selloff on Wall Street going global, markets are anxious. Traders are increasingly betting the Federal Reserve might ease policy at its next meeting, following fresh signs of economic stress in the labour market. |
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Markets struggle for cover from rout |
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, January 20, 2026. REUTERS/staff |
A survey from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed layoffs announced by U.S. employers surged in January to the highest level for the month in 17 years. Though pricing implies a strong possibility the Fed will remain on hold, funds futures are pricing a 22.7% probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the U.S. central bank's next two-day meeting that ends on March 18, compared with a 9.4% chance a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. For now, a selloff for global stocks is into its third day and emerging markets are looking shaky. Korean shares led the way after an early 5% dive in the KOSPI triggered a trading halt. It wasn't all bad though, with Japan's Nikkei 225 (.N225), opens new tab eking out a 0.6% gain as stocks rally into Sunday's election. |
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| Tech in the eye of the storm |
In early European trades, pan-region futures were last down 0.1% and FTSE futures were down 0.6%, though German DAX futures were up 0.1%. In an indication that investor confidence is still holding up, two of the leading speculative trades of the year both found a bottom during the Asian session. After plummeting through the $70,000 mark on Thursday, bitcoin has overturned a 4.9% decline to trade 4.2% higher at $65,778.90. Not to be outdone, after a 19% plunge on Thursday, silver reversed a 10% decline and is now trading up a placid 3.5% at $73.71. There's been little respite for big tech, however. Amazon (AMZN.O), opens new tab shares tumbled 15% in after-hours trading after it projected on Thursday a surge of more than 50% in capital expenditures this year. |
Graphics are produced by Reuters. |
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Key developments that could influence markets on Friday: |
- Earnings announcements: Philip Morris International, Cboe Global Markets, Societe Generale, Telenor
- Economic data: Germany: Industrial output and trade balance for December; UK: Halifax house prices for January; France: Reserve assets and trade balance for January
- Debt auctions: UK: 1-month, 3-month and 6-month government debt
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias. |
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